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The TSIA AI-20 Q4 Index

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September 16, 2026

Overview

Challenges

AI-native companies are telling a growth story, but growth isn't the same as profit. Across the twenty companies in TSIA's AI-20 Index, median revenue growth sits at 16.9% — real demand, unevenly distributed. Only two of the twenty post a GAAP operating profit. Median GAAP gross margin has fallen to 67.7%, down from 71.1% three years ago, and ten of the fifteen comparable constituents sit below the 75% floor that classic enterprise SaaS clears at scale. Six of the twenty headline numbers this quarter flatter the underlying result once you trace the mechanism behind them. If you're building an AI-delivered services offer and benchmarking it against a competitor's press release, you're benchmarking against the wrong number.

Summary

This eBook is TSIA's quarterly GAAP scorecard for twenty AI-exposed public companies, rebuilt every ratio from reported dollars rather than lifted from a press release. No adjusted, pro-forma, or company-preferred metric appears as a headline anywhere in the index — that discipline is the point, because it's the only way to see whether AI-first business models are producing profit or producing narrative. Inside, you'll find where gross margin erosion is coming from and why it traces to deliberate strategic choices rather than accounting quirks, a company-by-company breakdown of the six headlines that flatter the underlying data, and four concrete actions to instrument your own AI services P&L before your next board cycle. The growth in this cohort is real. The profit is two companies wide.

Key takeaways

The AI premium is being paid out of gross margin, not by customers.

Median GAAP gross margin across the Comparable 15 has eroded 347 basis points over three years, to 67.7%. Every material decline in the index traces to a specific choice — an acquisition, a licence-to-SaaS transition, or a fixed delivery base that doesn't flex with usage — and in each case, the company chose to own more of the delivery cost than it used to.

Growth is real. Profit is two companies wide.

Median year-over-year revenue growth is 16.9%, ranging from +92.8% to −52.5% across the cohort. But only Palantir and UiPath report a GAAP operating profit this quarter. The Rule of 40 now needs two answers — growth plus operating margin, and growth plus cash margin — because they tell different stories, and the median on operating margin is still negative.

Six headlines flatter the reality behind them.

Net income figures across the index are frequently driven by non-operating items — unrealized securities gains, interest income, mark-to-market adjustments on an earnout — sitting above or below an operating loss. Before you benchmark your own business against a competitor's press release, trace the mechanism behind their number.

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Having access to industry trends and benchmark data is a crucial variable in our business intelligence analysis processes. The content provided by TSIA assists us to drive strategy, performance enhancement, and efficiency into our business.

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David Bertsch, Business Excellence Leader, Pure Storage

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